MARKET SEES RISING ODDS OF A GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN Prediction markets Kalshi now put the chance of a U.S. government shutdown in 2025 at 44%, up sharply in recent days (+8.3 points) — the highest level since March.
New home sales
8/25/2025 14:00
Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan speaks
8/25/2025 19:15
New York Fed President John Williams speaks
8/25/2025 23:15
Durable-goods orders minus transportation
8/26/2025 12:30
Durable-goods orders
8/26/2025 12:30
S&P Case-Shiller home price index (20 cities)
8/26/2025 13:00
Consumer confidence
8/26/2025 14:00
GDP (First revision)
8/28/2025 12:30
Initial jobless claims
8/28/2025 12:30
Pending home sales
8/28/2025 14:00
Fed Gov. Christopher Waller speaks
8/28/2025 22:00
Advanced wholesale inventories
8/29/2025 12:30
Advanced retail inventories
8/29/2025 12:30
Advanced U.S. trade balance in goods
8/29/2025 12:30
Core PCE (year-over-year)
8/29/2025 12:30
Core PCE index
8/29/2025 12:30
PCE (year-over-year)
8/29/2025 12:30
PCE index
8/29/2025 12:30
Personal spending
8/29/2025 12:30
Personal income
8/29/2025 12:30
Chicago Business Barometer (PMI)
8/29/2025 13:45
Consumer sentiment (final)
8/29/2025 14:00
S&P final U.S. manufacturing PMI
9/2/2025 13:45
Construction spending
9/2/2025 14:00
ISM manufacturing
9/2/2025 14:00
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem speaks
9/3/2025 13:00
Factory orders
9/3/2025 14:00
Job openings
9/3/2025 14:00
Fed Beige Book
9/3/2025 18:00
ADP employment
9/4/2025 12:15
U.S. trade deficit
9/4/2025 12:30
U.S. productivity (revision)
9/4/2025 12:30
Initial jobless claims
9/4/2025 12:30
S&P final U.S. services PMI
9/4/2025 13:45
ISM services
9/4/2025 14:00
New York Fed President John Williams speaks
9/4/2025 16:05
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee speaks
9/4/2025 23:00
Hourly wages year over year
9/5/2025 12:30
U.S. hourly wages
9/5/2025 12:30
U.S. unemployment rate
9/5/2025 12:30
U.S. employment report
9/5/2025 12:30
S&P 400, 500, 600 Quarterly Rebalance
9/19/2025 20:00
13F Deadline
11/14/2025 23:00
Nasdaq Index Additions/Deletions Announced
12/12/2025 21:00
S&P 400, 500, 600 Quarterly Rebalance
12/19/2025 21:00
Nasdaq Index Rebalance
12/19/2025 21:00
13F Deadline
2/17/2026 23:00